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I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European Union. I first show that the Swedish business cycle since the mid-1990s has been closely correlated with the Euro area economies, suggesting that common shocks have been an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464128
This paper empirically studies the effect of instrumental and institutional stabilization of the exchange rate on the integration of goods markets. An instrumental stabilization of the exchange rate is accomplished through intervention in the foreign exchange market, or by monetary policies. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470250
volatility rises and as export demand shocks become more correlated. These theoretical results are confirmed by empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474100
domestic investment and foreign direct investment (FDI), and the correlation between exchange rate volatility and investment … exchange rate volatility under a flexible exchange rate is shown to depend on the nature of the shocks. If the dominant shocks … correlation between exchange rate volatility and the level of investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475028
A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international … exchange rate volatility, even after controlling for a host of features, including the endogenous nature of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471350
. exchange-rate volatility. B. The observed pattern of spot exchange-rate vs. forward exchange-rate volatility. Second, a widely … neglected reason for exchange-rate volatility, activist monetary policy, will be studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478498
rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty …This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a significant impact on long-term rate … with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466492
This paper addresses the puzzle of regime-dependent volatility in foreign exchange. We extend the literature in two … induce volatility under flexible rates because they have portfolio-balance effects on price, whereas under fixed rates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470227
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … variation, we formally develop the links between the conditional covariancematrix and the concept of realized volatility. Next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470566
produces two striking results: (i) Much of the observed short-term volatility in exchange rates comes from sampling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470613