The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper … constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass …, and more closely related to headline inflation over the next year. The weighted median also has a drawback: in most …

In this paper, we investigate the use of limited-information estimators as measures of core inflation. Employing a …-sectional distribution of inflation can cause substantial noise in the aggregate price index at high frequencies. The model suggests that … limited-influence estimators, such as the median of the cross-sectional distribution of inflation, will provide superior short …

To what extent is the recent spike in inflation driven by a change in its permanent component? We estimate a semi …-structural model of output, inflation, and the nominal interest rate in the United States over the period 1900-2021. The model predicts … that between 2019 and 2021 the permanent component of inflation rose by 51 basis points. If instead we estimate the model …

Post-covid inflation was predominantly driven by unexpectedly strong demand forces, not only in the United States, but … inflation near its 2-percent target---would have severely hampered an already anaemic recovery …

We provide theory and evidence that relative price shocks can cause aggregate inflation and act as aggregate supply … on U.S. core inflation while depressing U.S. real activity. In a two-sector monetary model with upstream and downstream … predictions. Motivated by post-COVID inflation in the U.S., a model experiment shows that a one-time relative price shock …

Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …

This paper shows that conventional measures of cost-of-living inflation, based on static models of consumption, suffer …

The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …

Official price indexes, such as the CPI, are imperfect indicators of inflation calculated using ad hoc price formulae … different from the theoretically well-founded inflation indexes favored by economists. This paper provides the first estimate of … how accurately the CPI informs us about "true" inflation. We use the largest price and quantity dataset ever employed in …

of inflation from different periods, which have become more prevalent as inflation has risen to 40-year highs. To better … contextualize the current run-up in inflation, this paper constructs new historical series for CPI headline and core inflation that … that current inflation levels are much closer to past inflation peaks than the official series would suggest. In particular …