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This note lays out the basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model of contagion, with a target audience of economists who want a framework for understanding the effects of social distancing and containment policies on the evolution of contagion and interactions with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482082
fluctuations in rainfall to capture the exogenous variation in trade between Germany, France, the U.K., and the Ottoman Empire …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462618
to France and Japan, a relative decline that was interrupted by the second world war (WW2); (iii) the remarkable catching …Most recently (in 2006), before the current financial world crisis, hourly labor productivity levels were slightly … higher in France than in the United States, and noticeably lower in the United Kingdom (by roughly 10%) and even lower in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463072
of two large firms: the South Sea Company in Great Britain and the Mississippi Company in France. In this paper we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463318
an improved current account). France's decision to suspend the free coinage of silver in 1876 played a paramount role in … France's decision to end bimetallism was exogenous from the viewpoint of countries on the silver standard. To deal with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466369
organize: World War I, Bretton Woods, 1970s Great Inflation and Managed Floating. Each turning point was characterized by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599404
model developed in this section suggests that the failure to coordinate policies lent a deflationary bias to the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477648
the rest of the world rather than focusing on issues with U.S. monetary and fiscal policies. In addition, at the urging of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481056
How did countries recover from the Great Depression? In this paper we explore the argument that leaving the gold standard helped by boosting inflationary expectations and lowering real interest rates. We do so for a sample of 30 countries, using modern nowcasting methods and a new dataset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481440
.1 percent of world population, implying 150 million deaths when applied to current population. Regressions with annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482047