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The basic assumption of this paper is an attempt to be specific about price formation while retaining a fixed-price, quantity-constrained equilibration in the short-run. The second theme of this paper is the role of inventories in macrodynamics a topic of long-recognized importance, but one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478692
The simplest macroeconomic models in which markets clear instantaneously, and expectations are rational preclude the existence of "business cycles," that is, of serially correlated deviations of output from trend. This paper studies one of several mechanisms that can be used to make these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478767
We review and interpret recent work on inventories, emphasizing empirical and business cycle aspects. We begin by documenting two empirical regularities about inventories. The first is the well-known one that inventories move procyclically. The second is that inventory movements are quite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472499
obtained in a complete information setting, where coordination is easy, to those obtained in a setting with strategic risk … deterrent effect under complete information, this does not hold anymore under strategic risk. Rather, we find that increases in … weapon stocks can have a non-monotonic effect on the sustainability of peace. We also show that under strategic risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464685
discrete interdependent risks with heterogeneous agents. There is a threat of an event that can only happen once, and the risk … depends on actions taken by others. Any agent's incentive to invest in managing the risk depends on the actions of others …. Security problems at airlines and in computer networks come into this category, as do problems of risk management in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468812
In a model with multiple Pareto-ranked equilibria we add trade in assets that pay based on the realization of a sunspot. Asset trading restricts the equilibrium set in a way that raises welfare by eliminating equilibria with a high likelihood of disasters. When the probability of a disaster is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457853
Manufacturers' finished goods inventories move less than shipments over the business cycle. We argue that this requires marginal cost to be more procyclical than is conventionally measured. We construct, for six manufacturing industries, alternative measures of marginal cost that attribute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471474
If stock-outs are ignored and if demand shocks are additive, then optimal behavior requires that the marginal cost of production (MC) be equated with the expected marginal revenue of increasing expected sales by one unit (EMR). However,with more general demand shocks (and still ignoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477522
The message of this paper can be summed up in two words: inventories matter. They matter empirically, in the sense that inventory developments are of major importance in the propagation of business cycles; and they matter theoretically, in the sense that recognition of their existence changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478621
This paper presents a structural model of production and inventory accumulation based on the hypothesis of cost minimization. It differs from previous attempts in several respects. First, it integrates the analysis of input inventories with output inventories, treating the two stocks separately....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478645