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In 2018, the US launched a trade war with China, an abrupt departure from its historical leadership in integrating … global markets. By late 2019, the US had tariffed roughly $350 billion of Chinese imports, and China had retaliated on $100 …, China and other countries. This article reviews what we have learned to date from this work …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629535
Import tariffs tend to be higher for final goods than for inputs, a phenomenon commonly referred to as tariff … escalation. Yet neoclassical trade theory - and modern Ricardian trade models, in particular - predict that welfare …-maximizing tariffs are uniform across sectors. We show that tariff escalation can be rationalized on efficiency grounds in the presence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334443
In this paper we have constructed a theoretical model in which Asian firms maximize their profit, competing with Japanese and US firms in their markets. The duopoly model is used to determine export prices and volumes in response to the exchange rate fluctuations vis-…-vis the Japanese yen and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471508
The paper examines welfare effects and the trade balance response to changes in the world oil prices and interest rates for a small oil-importing economy. The trade balance is mainly seen as the difference between saving and investment, and these are derived from intertemporal optimization. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478114
What are the effects of increased trade in goods and services on the trade balance? We study the effects of reducing transport costs in a Ricardian model with complete asset markets. Trade integration has three effects on the structure of the economy: a reduction in the home bias in consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469911
We provide a theoretical interpretation of two features of international data: the countercyclical movements in net exports and the tendency for the trade balance to be negatively correlated with current and future movements in the terms of trade, but positively correlated with past movements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474721
The primary predictions of strategic-trade theory are not restricted to imperfectly-competitive markets. Indeed, these … predictions emerge in a natural three-country extension of the traditional theory of trade policy in competitive markets, once the … theory is augmented to allow for politically-motivated governments, so that the sign of export policy may be converted from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470921
Formal economic analysis of trade agreements typically treats disputes as synonymous with concerns about enforcement. But in reality, most WTO disputes involve disagreements of interpretation concerning the agreement, or instances where the agreement is simply silent. And some have suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464579
Whether governments clash in trade disputes or negotiate over trade agreements, their actions in the international arena reflect political conditions back home. Previous studies of cooperative and noncooperative trade relations have focused on governments that are immune from political pressures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474682
interpreted as symptoms of a dispute resolution system in decline. In this paper we propose a theory that can explain these trends … as a result of judicial learning; thus according to our theory such trends represent good news, not bad news. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453937