inflation rate is -.17. The corresponding correlation for the period 1950 to 1979 is .71. Inflation evolved from essentially a … stochastic process of inflation, rather than a change in any structural relationship between nominal rates and expectedi nflation …. I find little evidence of inflation non-neutrality in data from the gold standard period.This contradicts the conclusion …

This paper investigates the use of trimmed means as high-frequency estimators of" inflation. The known characteristics … that simple averages of price data are" unlikely to produce efficient estimates of inflation. Trimmed means produce … superior estimates" of core inflation,' which we define as a long-run centered moving average of CPI and PPI" inflation. We …

As inflation approaches zero, it becomes increasingly important to examine the price indices on which monetary policy … index of the cost-of-living, is that there are likely to be biases in the index as a measure of inflation. In this paper we … inherent in the CPI as a measure of inflation--weighting bias. Utilizing a dynamic factor model we are able to compute the …

A new theory of price determination suggests that if primary surpluses are independent of the level of debt, the price …

medium-scale New Keynesian DSGE model, we apply our approach to generate and evaluate recursive forecasts for PCE inflation …, core PCE inflation, the unemployment rate, and housing starts along with predictions for the seven variables that have been …

Treasury bill rate, housing starts, industrial production, inflation and their forecasts are trend stationary. The corporate …

We estimate a multi-country multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020 …-2023 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices … and wages. We further measure the relative importance of different types of shocks on inflation across countries over time …