Showing 1 - 10 of 7,572
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
feature higher risk free rates, lower risk premiums on fully diversified and concentrated assets, less capital accumulation …, yet higher consumption and welfare. Exposure to undiversified firm risk can explain approximately 40% of the level and 20 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250139
This paper proposes a dynamic risk-based model that captures the high expected returns on value stocks relative to …, but that shocks to the time-varying price of risk are not. As long-horizon equity, growth stocks covary more with this … time-varying price of risk than value stocks, which covary more with shocks to cash flows. When the model is calibrated to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467541
We characterize and measure a long-run risk return tradeoff for the valuation of financial cash flows that are exposed … inputs from vector autoregressions to quantify this relationship; and we study the long-run risk differences in aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467203
horizon predictability, and a low volatility of the risk free rate. The model combines a rich payoff structure with a habit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469492
I use a vector autoregressive model (VAR) to decompose an individual firm's stock return into two components: changes in cash-flow expectations (i.e., cash-flow news) and changes in discount rates (i.e., expected-return news). The VAR yields three main results. First, firm-level stock returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470484
When expected returns are linear in asset characteristics, the stochastic discount factor (SDF) that prices individual stocks can be represented as a factor model with GLS cross-sectional regression slope factors. Factors constructed heuristically by aggregating individual stocks into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287376
Buyout booms form in response to declines in the aggregate risk premium. We document that the equity risk premium is … this phenomenon: a low risk premium increases the present value of performance gains and decreases the cost of holding an … illiquid investment. A panel of U.S. buyouts confirms this view. The risk premium shapes changes in buyout characteristics over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456263
, we ask what is, empirically, the best discounting method. To do this, we study listed firms, whose actual prices and … expected cash flows can be observed. We compare different discounting approaches on their ability to predict actual market … prices. We find that discounting based on expected returns (such as variants on the CAPM or multi-factor model), performs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537790
modeled as a Markov process. Stochastic growth in the underlying macroeconomy and stochastic discounting in the representation … featuring consumption externalities, recursive utility, and jump risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463143