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account for other important features of domestic and international aggregate fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463527
risk factors. Using a global vector autoregressive macroeconomic model accounting for about 80% of world output, we propose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467187
interpret G7 output data using a structural VAR that separately identifies common international shocks, the domestic effects of … magnitude of the common international shocks. Had the common international shocks in the 1980s and 1990s been as large as they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468838
together--there is a world component to business cycles. This paper argues that capital accumulation and international capital … flows are central to understanding world trade and business cycles. In particular, fluctuations in net exports and the … current account are shown to be dominated by trade in capital goods. The paper develops a two country model of international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473868
This paper links business cycle volatility to barriers on international mobility of goods and capital. Theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474757
intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455847
The 2008-2009 crisis was characterized by an unprecedented degree of international synchronization as all major … prices and economic activity (international recessions). The model suggests that these recessions are more severe if they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461456
then to see decreased co-movement between 1920 and 1927 when international integration increased and nations returned to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461732
allocation of resources across developed countries at the business cycle frequency. Here we discuss how evidence on international … quantity comovement, exchange rates, asset prices, and international portfolio holdings can be used to assess efficiency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459706
The effects of macroprudential policy on portfolio flows vary considerably across the global financial cycle. A tighter ex-ante macroprudential stance amplifies the impact of global risk shocks on bond and equity flows, increasing outflows significantly more during risk-off episodes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814445