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From a macroeconomic perspective, the short-term interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates. Thus, as illustrated by much recent research, a joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467596
We propose a novel measure of bond market liquidity that does not depend on transaction data: the strength of the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481676
We analyze the effect of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy on EME sovereign and corporate bond markets by … focusing on two dimensions: the evolution of the structure (size and currency composition) of the bond markets and their … allocations within the bond portfolios of US investors. Global factors, particularly the level of long-term US Treasury yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455054
Price-based liquidity metrics are better in 2013-2014 for small trades and large high-yield bond trades, but not for … large investment grade bond trades, relative to before the crisis, and are better for all bond types and trade sizes …-crisis liquidity could be low when markets are stressed. We consider three stress events: extreme VIX increases, extreme bond yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455364
I propose an implementation of the q-theory of investment using bond prices instead of equity prices. Credit risk makes … corporate bond prices sensitive to future asset values, and q can be inferred from bond prices. The bond market's q performs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466202
This paper tests several competing models of municipal bond market equilibrium. It analyzes the influence of changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477619
tax smoothing and effects of fiscal policies on bond markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635621
The price of a safe asset reflects not only the expected discounted future cash flows but also future service flows, since retrading allows partial insurance of idiosyncratic risk in an incomplete markets setting. This lowers the issuers' interest burden and allows the government to run a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814401
long as default is not preferable, remain passive in long-term bond markets, making payments and retiring long-term bonds …-term bond market. We show that any attempt to manipulate the existing maturity profile of outstanding long-term bonds generates … losses, as bond prices move against the sovereign. Our results hold regardless of the shape of the yield curve. The yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455833
We present a simple model of sovereign debt crises in which a country chooses its optimal mix of short and long-term bonds subject to standard contracting frictions: the country cannot commit to repay its debts nor to a specific path of future debt issues, and contracts cannot be made state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457880