Showing 1 - 10 of 7,216
This paper attempts to provide a more complete reckoning of the costs of the Iraq War, using standard economic and … underestimate the War's true costs. We estimate a range of present and future costs, by including expenditures not in the $500bn CBO … the war on the overall performance of the economy. Even taking a conservative approach and assuming all US troops return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466615
and II, which would seemingly increase uncertainty. In a seminal paper, Schwert (1989) identified the "war puzzle" as one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172137
Goods and services---public housing, medical appointments, schools---are often allocated to individuals who rank them similarly but differ in their preference intensities. We characterize optimal allocation rules when individual preferences are known and when they are not. Several insights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629428
This paper argues that before World War II the desire to maintain a trustworthy reputation for honoring war debts was … honoring in full of war debts following World War II. The discussion focuses on differences in economic and political … conditions after World War II, especially the extension of the voting franchise, the increased economic and political power of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476317
the implications of the war costs themselves. Besides the unanticipated length and breadth of the military conflicts … motivations associated with war cost forecasts by comparing them with other types of aggregate forecasts, which are prone to … similar types of errors. The history of war cost forecasts suggests that increasing their frequency and transparency may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462493
Revolutionary War, the absence of such constraints in the United States required full-tax smoothing, with only a temporary use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471950
This paper provides a formal model of endogenous country formation and of choice of defense spending in a world with international conflict. The model is consistent with three observations. First, secessions and, more generally, break-up of countries should follow a reduction in the likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473144
This paper analyzes the financial and war-spending policies of a state that faces a war in which defeat would result in … have lent is defeated and who also face partial default if the material consequences of the war are unfavorable for the … debtor state, even if it avoids defeat. In this analysis, the state uses war debt to smooth expected consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475197
This paper analyzes a reputational equilibrium for sovereign debt in a model in which the sovereign borrows to finance spending for defense against threats to its survival in power. In this model, the amount of sovereign debt and defense spending, the resulting survival probability, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476624
estimated on samples that include WWII and the Korean war, when defense shocks prevailed, while the latter are estimated mostly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458486