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This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074
We explore the implications of asset price volatility for the management of monetary policy. We show that it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471216
This paper studies three different measures of monthly stock market volatility: the time-series volatility of daily … market returns within the month; the cross-sectional volatility or 'dispersion' of daily returns on industry portfolios …, within the month. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471650
U.S. stock volatility is 33 percent lower during wartime and periods of conflict. This is true even for World Wars I … of the most surprising facts from two centuries of stock volatility data. We propose an explanation for the puzzle: the … reduces stock volatility. The sector level regressions show that defense spending predicts lower stock volatility for firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172137
Recent critiques have demonstrated that existing attempts to account for the unemployment volatility puzzle of search … volatility of risk-free rates. We propose a model that is immune to these critiques and solves this puzzle by allowing for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480524
) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481562
Stock and Treasury bond comovement, volatilities, and their relations to their price valuations and fundamentals change stochastically over time, both in magnitude and direction. These stochastic changes are explained by a general equilibrium model in which agents learn about composite economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463086
increase volatility in order to exploit the implicit protection. However, if they increase volatility too much they may induce … that it allows high volatility choices, while net worth is high. However, risk limits tighten abruptly when the firm's net …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463592
We develop a model in which innovations in an economy's growth potential are an important driving force of the business cycle. The framework shares the emphasis of the recent "new shock" literature on revisions of beliefs about the future as a source of fluctuations, but differs by tieing these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463620
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463859