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in which information flows were regularly interrupted for exogenous reasons. English shares were traded on the Amsterdam … prices responded strongly to boat arrivals, but there was considerable volatility in the absence of news. The evidence … suggests that this was largely the result of the revelation of (long-lived) private information and the (transitory) impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459831
about the information content in public signals. We determine how informational advantages by domestic investors in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461904
When equity prices are determined as the discounted sum of current and expected future dividends, Shiller (1981) and LeRoy and Porter (1981) derived a relationship between the variance of the price of equities, p(t), and the variance of the ex post realized discounted sum of current and future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467707
, volatility and stock returns. To do this, we use a large sample of individual accounts over a six-year period in the 1990's in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469203
This paper constructs a general equilibrium model with two types of people where asset price fluctuations are caused by random shocks to the price level that reallocate consumption across generations. In this model, asset prices are volatile, and price-earnings ratios are persistent, even though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456447
We document a form of excess volatility that is irreconcilable with standard models of prices, even after accounting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456629
This paper explores whether affine models with volatility jumps estimated on intradaily S&P 500 futures data over 1983 … typically small, and that self-exciting but short-lived volatility spikes capture intradaily and daily returns better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456646
The representative agent model (RA) has dominated macroeconomics for the last thirty years. This model does a reasonably good job of explaining the co-movements of consumption, investment, GDP and employment during normal times. But it cannot easily explain movements in asset prices. Two facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458706
volatility over the next month, but with decreasing realized volatility. These predictability patterns are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459071
We propose a network model of firm volatility in which the customers' growth rate shocks influence the growth rates of … the customer firm. Even though all shocks are i.i.d., the network model produces firm-level volatility and size … customer networks display lower volatility. Over time, the volatilities of all firms co-move strongly, and their common factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459196