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Population Aging and Economic Growth : From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Drag?

Kotschy, Rainer; Bloom, David E. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper examines the extent to which changes in working-age shares associated with population aging might slow economic growth in upcoming years. We first analyze the economic effects of changing working-age shares in a standard empirical growth model using country panel data from 1950-2015....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337818

Climate Change, Population Growth, and Population Pressure

Henderson, J. Vernon; Jang, Bo Yeon; Storeygard, Adam; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

We develop a novel method for assessing the effect of constraints imposed by spatially-fixed natural resources on aggregate economic output. We apply it to estimate and compare the projected effects of climate change and population growth over the course of the 21st century, by country and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486236

Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers : Introducing Age into National Accounts

Mason, Andrew - 2006

In all societies intergenerational transfers are large and have an important influence on inequality and growth. The development of each generation of youth depends on the resources that it receives from productive members of society for health, education, and sustenance. The well-being of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465891

The Effects of the Ageing European Population on Economic Growth and Budgets : Implications for Immigration and Other Policies

Feldstein, Martin S. - 2006

The ageing of the population presents a major fiscal challenge for the countries of Europe. The combination of increased longevity and a reduced birth rate will directly reduce the growth rates of the European economies by slowing the growth of the capital stock and by weakening the productivity...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465924

Economic Growth and the Demographic Transition

Bloom, David E. - 2001

For decades, economists and social thinkers have debated the influence of population change on economic growth. Three alternative positions define this debate: that population growth restricts, promotes, or is independent of economic growth. Proponents of each explanation can find evidence to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470030

Implications of Population Aging for Economic Growth

Bloom, David E. - 2011

The share of the population aged 60 and over is projected to increase in nearly every country in the world during 2005-2050. Population ageing will tend to lower both labor-force participation and savings rates, thereby raising concerns about a future slowing of economic growth. Our calculations...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461952

The Cyclicality of Births and Babies' Health, Revisited : Evidence from Unemployment Insurance

Dettling, Lisa J.; Kearney, Melissa Schettini - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We revisit the cyclical nature of birth rates and infant health and investigate to what extent the relationship between aggregate labor market conditions and birth outcomes is mitigated by the consumption smoothing income assistance delivered through unemployment insurance (UI). We introduce a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226134

The Economics of Long-Term Care in Canada

Milligan, Kevin; Schirle, Tammy - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper contributes a broad overview of the Canadian long-term care system. Taking an economist's viewpoint, we bring together supply and demand factors to provide an economic analysis of the current and future path for long-term care. Like other OECD countries, the coming demographic wave of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437006

The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Disease in China and India : Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons

Bloom, David E. - 2013

This paper provides estimates of the economic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the … five main NCDs will total USD 27.8 trillion for China and USD 6.2 trillion for India (in 2010 USD). For both countries, the … that the costs are much larger in China than in India mainly because of China's higher income and older population. Rough …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459326

Has China's Growth Gone From Miracle to Malady?

Prasad, Eswar S. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

China's remarkable run of persistently high growth in recent decades is all the more stunning in light of the country …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250169

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