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Trade Linkages and Output-Multiplier Effects : A Structural VAR Approach with a Focus on Asia
Abeysinghe, Tilak - 2001
This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries …. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output …-trade matrix. For example, due to these output-multiplier effects, a shock to one country can have a large impact on countries that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470116
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World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles : An Empirical Investigation
Fernández, Andrés - 2016
Most existing studies of the macroeconomic effects of global shocks assume that they are mediated by a single intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455847
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Leverage Constraints and the International Transmission of Shocks
Devereux, Michael B. - 2010
Recent macroeconomic experience has drawn attention to the importance of interdependence among countries through financial markets and institutions, independently of traditional trade linkages. This paper develops a model of the international transmission of shocks due to interdependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462429
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Business Cycles and the Asset Structure of Foreign Trade
Baxter, Marianne - 1994
International financial market linkages are widely believed to be important for the international transmission of business cycles, since these govern the extent to which individuals can smooth consumption in the presence of country-specific shocks to income. This paper develops a two-country,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473924
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Changes in Business Cycles : Evidence and Explanations
Romer, Christina D. - 1999
This paper analyzes changes in American business cycles over the twentieth century and suggests a possible explanation for the major changes that have and have not occurred. The empirical analysis shows that the volatility of annual real macroeconomic indicators and the average severity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471859
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Microeconomic Uncertainty, International Trade, and Aggregate Fluctuations
Alessandria, George - 2014
The extent and direction of causation between micro volatility and business cycles are debated. We examine, empirically and theoretically, the source and effects of fluctuations in the dispersion of producer- level sales and production over the business cycle. On the theoretical side, we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458049
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Business Cycle Volatility and Openness : An Exploratory Cross-Section Analysis
Razin, Assaf - 1992
This paper links business cycle volatility to barriers on international mobility of goods and capital. Theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474757
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Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks : Evidence from a Panel of 14 Countries
Chinn, Menzie - 1996
This paper investigates the determinants of the real exchange rate using a panel of disaggregated data for the OECD countries. It also marries two literatures - one which uses panel data to measure relationships between changes in exchange rates to changes in the determinants, and the other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473129
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Technology (and Policy) Shocks in Models of Endogenous Growth
Jones, Larry E. - 1999
Is there a trade-off between fluctuations and growth? The empirical evidence is mixed, with some studies (Kormendi and Meguire (1985)) finding a positive relationship, while others (Ramey and Ramey (1995)) finding the a negative one. Our objective in this paper is to understand how fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471733
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Money, Sticky Wages, and the Great Depression
Bordo, Michael D. - 1997
This paper examines the ability of a simple stylized general equilibrium model that incorporates nominal wage rigidity to explain the magnitude and persistence of the Great Depression in the United States. The impulses to our analysis are money supply shocks. The Taylor contracts model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472743