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the fertility and marital behavior in Germany, until recently a lowest-low fertility setting. We find that exposure to … greater import competition from Eastern Europe led to worse labor market outcomes and lower fertility rates. In contrast …, workers in industries that benefited from increased exports had better employment prospects and higher fertility. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334338
Previous research finds that the greater geographic mobility of foreign than native-born workers following economic shocks helps to facilitate local labor market adjustment to shifting regional economic conditions. We examine the role that immigration may have played in enabling U.S. commuting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537796
This paper studies the evolution of China's production and trade patterns during its integration into the global economy. We document and explain new facts concerning changes in production and exports at the industry and firm levels using microdata and a quantitative Ricardian and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544694
We estimate the effects of large, positive wealth shocks on marriage and fertility in a sample of Swedish lottery … players. For male winners, wealth increases marriage formation and reduces divorce risk, suggesting wealth increases men …'s attractiveness as prospective and current partners. Wealth also increases male fertility. The only discernible effect on female …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247960
higher marriage rates for women and lower for men. Land abundance favored higher fertility. The demands of childcare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247997
responses among higher-income individuals. Resources generate persistent increases in marriage for single men and women but do … not increase the likelihood existing marriages are preserved. Fertility is modestly accelerated by a lottery win, but … there is little effect on total fertility. Our results support a causal pathway behind differences in homeownership and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477235
We review theoretical and empirical work on the economic effects of the United States and China trade relations during the last decades. We first discuss the origins of the China shock, its measurement, and present methods used to study its economic effects on different outcomes. We then focus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361989
We study the economic and political consequences of the 2018-2019 trade war between the United States, China and other US trade partners at the detailed geographic level, exploiting measures of local exposure to US import tariffs, foreign retaliatory tariffs, and US compensation programs. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468281
This paper uses millions of records from a cross-country and time series database of both publicly listed and private companies to disentangle the role of technological change, market power, and globalization in driving a fall in the labor share. Labor shares are measured at the enterprise level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468215
The impact of shocks in dynamic environments depends on how forward-looking agents anticipate the path of future fundamentals that shape their decisions. We incorporate flexible beliefs about future fundamentals in a general class of dynamic spatial models, allowing beliefs to be evolving,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322891