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Since its launch in 2009 much has been written about Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and blockchains. While the discussions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481332
How do Bitcoin prices evolve? What are the consequences for monetary policy? We answer these questions in a novel, yet … keeps the real value of Dollars constant, while Bitcoin production is decentralized via proof-of-work. We obtain a …" condition. Under some conditions, we show that Bitcoin prices form convergent supermartingales or submartingales and derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453232
We rely on economic theory to discuss how blockchain technology will shape innovation in digital platforms. We identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455728
We explore the implications of asset price volatility for the management of monetary policy. We show that it is desirable for central banks to focus on underlying inflationary pressures. Asset prices become relevant only to the extent they may signal potential inflationary or deflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471216
explored: bubble expectations and investor confidence. Semiannual time-series indicators of these attitudes are presented for … investors an expectation of a speculative bubble, an unstable situation with expectations for increase in the short run only …, are produced. Four different time-series indicators of whether there is an expectation of a negative speculative bubble …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471792
bubble exists, then it started on the first date of trading of …bubbles in stock prices in a model in which stockholders have …restart. Thus, even if a positive rational bubble exists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477082
This paper reports empirical tests for the existence of rational bubbles in stock prices. The analysis focuses on a …, and defines a rational bubble to be a self-confirming divergence of stock prices from market fundamentals in response to … extraneous variables. The tests are based on the theoretical result that, if rational bubbles exist, time series obtained by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477310
importantly, the present analysis considers the inception of rational bubbles and shows that, for anegative rational bubble …A rational bubble would involve a self-confirming belief that an asset price depends on information that includes … economically interesting, i.e., forward looking, any rational bubbles would be either explosive or implosive. Further arguments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477466
There is a large and growing empirical literature that tests forthe existence of asset-price bubbles or "sunspot …" equilibria -- equilibria unrelated to market fundamentals. Our view is that even tests for non-stationary asset-price bubbles … ruling out nonstationary speculative price bubbles in models based on individual maximizing behavior. In the first part of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477481
involve three parts, which we denote as the fundamental component, the deterministic bubble component, and the stochastic … bubble component. This paper explores the properties of these solution components, emphasizing the distinction between … deterministic bubbles and stochastic bubbles, for a model of inflation and for a model of the evolution of price and quantity in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478044