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The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214
The extraordinary events surrounding the Great Recession have cast a considerable doubt on the traditional sources of macroeconomic instability. In their place, economists have singled out financial and uncertainty shocks as potentially important drivers of economic fluctuations. Empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456616
What accounts for inflation after 2008? We use the prominent pre-crisis Smets-Wouters (2007) model to address this question. We find that due to price markup shocks alone inflation would have been 1% higher than observed and 0.5% higher that the long-run average. Their standard deviation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457959
We build a variation of the neoclassical growth model in which both wealth shocks (in the sense of wealth destruction) and financial shocks to households generate recessions. The model features three mild departures from the standard model: (1) adjustment costs make it difficult to expand the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459219
for larger branches. This internal shock to the balance sheets of U.S. branches of foreign banks had sizable effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460786
Is there a trade-off between fluctuations and growth? The empirical evidence is mixed, with some studies (Kormendi and Meguire (1985)) finding a positive relationship, while others (Ramey and Ramey (1995)) finding the a negative one. Our objective in this paper is to understand how fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471733
the shock compared to countries which did not have such pre-emptive policies in place. We use the episodes of Taper … fixed effects where preemptive policies are ex-ante by construction and cannot be put in place as a response to the shock ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794642
Fluctuations in real GNP have traditionally been viewed as transitory deviations from a deterministic time trend. The purpose of this paper is to review some of the recent developments that have led to a new view of output fluctuations and then to provide some additional evidence. Using post-war...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476900
Measured productivity is strongly procyclical. Real business cycle theories suggest that actual fluctuations in productivity are the source of fluctuations in aggregate output. Keynesian theories maintain that fluctuations in aggregate output come from shocks to aggregate demand. Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476922
Consider an economy subject to two kinds of shocks: (a) an observable shock to the relative demand for final goods … output is determined by (1) the technological shock that determines which final goods industry uses his output intensively … among final goods, then it doesn't matter which final goods industry uses the worker's output. Thus the technological shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478130