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Stock prices react significantly to the tone (negativity of words) managers use on earnings conference calls. This reaction reflects reasonably rational use of information. "Tone surprise" - the residual when negativity in managerial tone is regressed on the firm's recent economic performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457675
This paper develops a signaling model in which accounting information improves real investment decisions. Pure cash …' interests. Accounting by prespecified, "objective" rules alleviates the underinvestment problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475844
This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469089
This paper studies the role of insider trading in explaining cross-country differences in stock market volatility. It … volatile stock markets, even after one controls for liquidity/maturity of the market, and the volatility of the underlying … fundamentals (volatility of real output and of monetary and fiscal policies). Moreover, the effect of insider trading is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469159
ownership and trades by large institutions lead to higher volatility and to increased return and liquidity comovement. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456429
-at-risk constraints. The results also have strong implications for macro models where volatility affects investment decisions, suggesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457485
This review article tries to answer four questions: (i) what are the stylized facts about uncertainty over time; (ii) why does uncertainty vary; (iii) do fluctuations in uncertainty matter; and (iv) did higher uncertainty worsen the Great Recession of 2007-2009? On the first question both macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458949
data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies for the first and second moments of business conditions. We then use … second moment shocks accounting for at least a half of the variation in growth. Variations in higher moments of stock market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459187
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462052
According to conventional wisdom, annualized volatility of stock returns is lower when computed over long horizons than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463890