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The question of whether and how mutual fund managers provide valuable services for their clients motivates one of the largest literatures in finance. One candidate explanation is that funds process information about future asset values and use that information to invest in high-valued assets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463199
A large recent literature has focused on multiperiod portfolio choice with labor income, and while the models are elaborate along several dimensions, they all assume that the joint distribution of shocks to labor income and asset returns is i.i.d.. Calibrating this joint distribution to U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467677
We use mutual fund flows as a measure for individual investor sentiment for different stocks, and find that high sentiment predicts low future returns at long horizons. Fund flows are dumb money -- by reallocating across different mutual funds, retail investors reduce their wealth in the long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467153
's beliefs about other funds. This will be true insofar as an investor's expectation about the performance of a fund is partly a … have a substantial impact on the cross-section of posterior beliefs about fund performance as well as asset allocation … dependence, investors aggregate information across funds to form a general belief about the potential for abnormal performance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469311
management. Consequently, past performance cannot be used to predict future returns, or to infer the average skill level of … is nonexistent or unrewarded, that gathering information about performance is socially wasteful, or that chasing … performance is pointless. A strong relationship between past performance and the ow of funds exists in our model, indeed this is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469434
differences in investment style contribute about 20 per cent of the cross sectional variability in hedge fund performance. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470553
This paper evaluates persistence in the performance of institutional equity managers. We build on recent work on … conditional performance evaluation, using time-varying conditional expected returns and risk measures. We find evidence that the … investment performance of pension fund managers persists over time. A conditional approach is able to better detect this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472998
Using an extensive new data set on U.S. and U.K.-traded closed- end funds, we examine the diversification benefits from emerging equity markets and the extent of their integration with global capital markets. To measure diversification benefits, we exploit the duality between Hansen-Jagannathan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473908
The market for high yield (below investment-grade) corporate bonds developed in the middle 1980s. We show that, since this time, the high yield spread has had significant explanatory power for the business cycle. We interpret this finding as possibly symptomatic of financial factors at work in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471226
We find a strong link between currency excess returns and the relative strength of the business cycle. Buying currencies of strong economies and selling currencies of weak economies generates high returns both in the cross section and time series of countries. These returns stem primarily from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480244