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international competition -- that trade deficits have eroded our manufacturing base, that inability to sell on world markets has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474468
pressures on employment from participation are two-thirds that of unemployment. Moreover, the participation cycle delays the … recovery in employment because it lags the unemployment cycle. It also amplifies the unevenness of the impact of recessions ….e., the participation cycle, which are important for the implementation of the maximum employment mandate. We show that these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629442
Demographic differences in patterns of employment variation over the business cycle are examined in this paper. Three … primary conclusions emerge. First, both participation and unemployment must be considered in any analysis of cyclical changes … in the labor market. Second, young people bear a disproportionate share of cyclical employment variation. Third, failure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478622
We rely on a decomposition of employment changes into job creation and job destruction components - and a novel set of … inferences: 1) The data favor a many- shock characterization of fluctuations in employment and job reallocation, 2) Theories of … employment fluctuations that attribute a predominant role to aggregate shocks must in order to fit the data involve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473059
This study measures the heterogeneity of establishment-level employment changes in the U.S. manufacturing sector over … reallocation and worker reallocation, to evaluate theories of heterogeneity in plant-level employment dynamics, and to establish …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475277
We study how human capital diversification, in the form of double majoring, affects the response of earnings to labor market shocks. Double majors experience substantial protection against earnings shocks, of 56%. This finding holds across different model specifications and data sets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468295
We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use … in the EU rate. The response of the unemployment rate is minuscule. These findings are at odds with the actual behavior … large unemployment fluctuations. We show that aggregate productivity shocks generate the correct comovement between the UE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481623
record rise in long-term unemployment may yield a persistent residue of long-term unemployed workers with weak search … effectiveness. Second, conventional estimates suggest that the extension of Emergency Unemployment Compensation may have led to a … modest increase in unemployment. Despite these forces, we conclude that the problems facing the U.S. labor market are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462625
The aggregate neoclassical growth model - with a labor income tax or "labor market distortion" that began growing at the end of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462971
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164