Policymakers can take actions to prevent local conflict before it begins, if such violence can be accurately predicted …. We examine the two countries with the richest available sub-national data: Colombia and Indonesia. We assemble two … decades of fine-grained violence data by type, alongside hundreds of annual risk factors. We predict violence one year ahead …

Colombia, we bring together data on expected upward mobility, exposure to violence, and symptoms of psychological trauma. After …We explore the impact of violence on perceived prospects of upward mobility. For a sample of victims of violence in … controlling for material losses and current circumstances, we find that exposure to more severe violence leads victims' perceived …

Many states in Latin America, Africa and Asia lack the monopoly of violence, identified by Max Weber as the foundation … establishment of the monopoly of violence and the formation of the state. We build a model to explain the incentive of central … predictions of our model using data from Colombia between 1991 and 2006. We first present regression and case study evidence …

In this paper, we develop and estimate a model of violence between romantically linked men and women. Physical violence … violence appears to lead to a heavy-tailed error distribution. Our empirical results suggest that increases in the assailants …(i.e. the male's) income serve to increase violence, while increases in the proportion of the year that he is employed serve to …

a household bargaining model. The relationship between the wage gap and violence suggests that reductions in violence …Three quarters of all violence against women is perpetrated by domestic partners. I study both the economic causes and … consequences of domestic violence. I find that decreases in the male-female wage gap reduce violence against women, consistent with …

A large body of evidence documents a link between alcohol consumption and violence involving intimate partners and …-at-home orders, there has been a marked increase in domestic violence. This research considers an important mechanism behind the … increase in domestic violence during the COVID-19 pandemic: an increase in the riskiness of alcohol consumption. We combine 911 …

We study the impact of health shocks on domestic violence and illicit drug use. We argue that health is a form of human … breakthrough reduced domestic violence and illicit drug use. Our findings provide support for the idea that health improvements can … that both domestic violence and illicit drug use are social problems often seen as frustratingly impervious to …

population that were household heads rose from 29.5 to 36.3. While some of this increase was due to the maturing of the"baby boom … sharply for the under 34 population. This paper explains household formations due to changes in headship rates in terms of …