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this is primarily a consequence of rising real per capita income, which more than doubled over the same period. We … investigate this hypothesis empirically by instrumenting for local area income with time-series variation in global oil prices … an increase in income on health expenditures. Our central estimate is an income elasticity of 0.7, with an elasticity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463903
We develop equilibrium models of an exhaustible resource market where both prices and extraction choices are determined endogenously. Our analysis highlights a role for adjustment costs in generating price dynamics that are consistent with observed oil and gas forward prices as well as with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466671
Beginning in early 2011, crude oil production in the U.S. Midwest and Canada surpassed the pipeline capacity to transport it to the Gulf Coast where it could access the world oil market. As a result, the U.S. "benchmark" crude oil price in Cushing, Oklahoma, declined substantially relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460532
Emerging economies that are large oil producers have sizable external debt, their country risk rises when oil prices fall, and several of them have defaulted at least once since 1979. Moreover, while oil and non-oil output reduce country risk on impact and in the long-run, oil reserves reduce it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247980
mass index (BMI). Using data from the 1986 and 1999-2005 Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we estimate semi-parametric wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463665
account. We find that historical adjustment of eligibility ages for age inflation would have increased ages of eligibility by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464411
This paper shows that the effects on real income and the price level of the 1973-1974 oil price increase are quite … parameter values imply trivial reductions in real income and ambiguously signed changes in the price level. It is noted, however … extended Barro-Lucas real income equation are estimated for eight countries. Although statistically significant and substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478494
Japan suffered a very high inflation rate in 1973-74. The CPI inflation rate rose to near 30% in 1974, the highest rate …, the oil crisis is blamed for the 1973-74 high inflation. However, due to monetary policy decisions in 1972-73, the … inflation rate had already exceeded 10% before the onset of the oil crisis in October 1973. These decisions include the interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462925
inflation. In the 2000s, and at least until the end of 2007, even larger increases in the price of oil were associated with much … milder movements in output and inflation. Using a structural VAR approach Blanchard and Gali (2007a) argued that this has … reflected in large part a change in the causal relation from the price of oil to output and inflation. In order to shed light on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463182
for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity of the recent increase in the price of oil: (a) good luck (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465282