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findings have implications for market-wide volatility - the model-implied correlations alone can explain 44% of the cross …-section of aggregate volatility. The results are robust to controlling for a number of alternative factors put forth by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457188
has focused on average returns, we analyze the volatility of the returns in emerging equity markets. We characterize the … time-series of volatility in emerging markets and explore the distributional foundations of the variance process. Of … particular interest is evidence of asymmetries in volatility and the evolution of the variance process after periods of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473563
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469093
This paper compares several statistical models for monthly stock return volatility. The focus is on U.S. data from 1834 … volatility that are inconsistent with stationary models for conditional heteroskedasticity, We show the importance of … of stock volatility, even over the 1834-1925 period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476093
We examine the dynamic relation between return and volume of individual stocks. Using a simple model in which investors trade to share risk or speculate on private information, we show that returns generated by risk-sharing trades tend to reverse themselves while returns generated by speculative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470412
volatility autocorrelation comes from the fundamental that the trading process is pricing or, is caused by the trading process … itself. Returns and volume data argue, in the context of our model, that persistent volatility is caused by traders … autocorrelation in volatility and volume on the time scale of the trading process which generates returns and volume data. Positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473910
introduce a model for asset return dynamics with a drift component, a volatility component and mutually exciting jumps known as … develop and implement an estimation procedure for this model. Our estimates provide evidence for self-excitation both in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462802
Stocks with recent past high idiosyncratic volatility have low future average returns around the world. Across 23 … developed markets, the difference in average returns between the extreme quintile portfolios sorted on idiosyncratic volatility … higher moments. There is strong comovement in the low returns to high idiosyncratic volatility stocks across countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464908
We study the effects of fiscal policy in response to the COVID-19 pandemic at the firm, sector, country and global level. First, we estimate the impact of COVID-19 and policy responses on small and medium sized enterprise (SME) business failures. We combine firm-level financial data from 50...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629513