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We measure investors' short- and long-term stock-return expectations using both options and survey data. These expectations at different horizons reveal what investors think their own short-term expectations will be in the future, or forward return expectations. While contemporaneous short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372444
We analyze mortgage lenders' behavior with respect to shale gas risk during the period of the U.S. shale gas boom … scrutiny, to $3,137, or 1.6% of profit earned on an average mortgage, afterwards. Our approach provides an alternative to the … decisions of mortgage professionals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696403
increased 1940 median home values and homeownership rates, but not new home building …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462410
Using individual-level data on homeowner debt and defaults from 1997 to 2008, we show that borrowing against the increase in home equity by existing homeowners is responsible for a significant fraction of both the sharp rise in U.S. household leverage from 2002 to 2006 and the increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463368
We use survey data to study American households' propensity to default when the value of their mortgage exceeds the … value of their house even if they can afford to pay their mortgage (strategic default). We find that 26% of the existing … the house. Yet, 17% of households would default, even if they can afford to pay their mortgage, when the equity shortfall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463505
mortgage credit in the postwar era, supports the model. The results suggest that more recent mortgage market innovations have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468080
, but the home mortgage interest deduction is a particularly poor instrument for encouraging homeownership since it is …The home mortgage interest deduction creates incentives to buy more housing and to become a homeowner, and the case for … the deduction rests on social benefits from housing consumption and homeownership. There is little evidence suggesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469424
During the last quarter century, mortgage interest deductibility has been gradually phased out. In 1974 a ceiling was … set on the size of the mortgage eligible for interest deductibility (œ30,000 since 1983) and, beginning in 1993, the …. The penalty variables depend on the predicted probability of having a loan that exceeds the ceiling, the market mortgage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469502
Home equity conversion as presently constituted or proposed usually does not deal well with the potential problem of moral hazard. Once home-owners know that the risk of poor market performance of their homes is borne by investors, they have an incentive to neglect to take steps to maintain the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472256
In this paper we analyze the factors that affect the tenure choice of young adults, highlighting the impact of mortgage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473215