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This paper explores sources of complexity in dynamic optimization, examining how individuals navigate variation in incomes, prices, and returns in ten-period consumption-saving decisions. Our findings reveal that dynamic optimization poses significant challenges, resulting in suboptimal choices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056146
'Epidemiological' models of belief formation put social interactions at their core; such models are widely used by scholars who are not economists to study the dynamics of beliefs in populations. We survey the literature in which economists attempting to model the consequences of beliefs about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435167
had a persistent 2-3 year impact on the flow of deposits and stock of savings, and increased the present value of branch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337763
of theory and data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210041
savings ("excess savings") and a small but persistent current account deficit (a slow-motion "twin deficit"). These patterns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334403
We provide a simple framework connecting the distribution of excess savings across households to the dynamics of … aggregate demand. Deficit-financed fiscal transfers generate excess savings. The poorest households with the highest MPCs spend … down their excess savings the fastest, increasing other households' incomes and their excess savings. This leads to a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537792
Matched transaction-level, credit-registry, and survey-based data reveal that consumers on average form excessively high (low) income expectations relative to ex-post realizations after unexpected positive (negative) income shocks. These extrapolative income expectations lead consumers to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635678
We analyze the saving motives of European households using micro-data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS), which is conducted by the European Central Bank. We find that the rank ordering of saving motives differs greatly depending on what criterion is used to rank them. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056164
increase retirement savings. However, gauging the relative efficacy of these approaches is challenging because the supporting … rates, active choice, and automatic enrollment) designed to increase retirement savings. Consistent with previous literature …, we find sizable effects of savings interventions on participation and cumulative contributions that increase with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462745
savings are smaller than the short-run effects, with some savings financed via debt. I also review efforts to expand access to … employer-based retirement savings and liquid savings, the pros and cons of target date funds as default investment options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635616