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The extent and direction of causation between micro volatility and business cycles are debated. We examine, empirically and theoretically, the source and effects of fluctuations in the dispersion of producer- level sales and production over the business cycle. On the theoretical side, we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458049
studies conducted in eleven countries to explore liquidity risk transmission. Among the main results is, first, that … explanatory power of the empirical model is higher for domestic lending than for international lending. Second, how liquidity risk … management across global banks can be important for liquidity risk transmission into lending. Fourth, there is substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458364
-diversified equity portfolio. We do not use any dividend strips data in the estimation of the model; however, model-implied equity yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250137
Risk in bank trading portfolios and its management are potentially important to the banks' soundness and to the … average long exposures and exposures vary inversely with the level of rates. Implications for aggregate bank dealer risk and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467069
In high-dimensional factor models, both the factor loadings and the number of factors may change over time. This paper proposes a shrinkage estimator that detects and disentangles these instabilities. The new method simultaneously and consistently estimates the number of pre- and post-break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458871
evaluation, the econometrician must estimate the parameters of expectation terms. Standard estimation methods have several … variables or parameter instability, and the common use of inefficient estimation methods. Several authors have raised concerns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465246
Factors estimated from large macroeconomic panels are being used in an increasing number of applications. However, little is known about how the size and the composition of the data affect the factor estimates. In this paper, we question whether it is possible to use more series to extract the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468869
A four-factor model with two "mispricing" factors, in addition to market and size factors, accommodates a large set of anomalies better than notable four- and five-factor alternative models. Moreover, our size factor reveals a small-firm premium nearly twice usual estimates. The mispricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457136
We propose a statistical model of differences in beliefs in which heterogeneous investors are represented as different machine learning model specifications. Each investor forms return forecasts from their own specific model using data inputs that are available to all investors. We measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337816
method unifies non-parametric curve estimation with cross-sectional factor modeling. We identify smoothness as a fundamental … risk premia of the term structure of excess returns. Cash flows are covariances as the exposure of bonds to factors is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544750