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not run in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, a relatively representative electoral constituency, in the general election of July 23 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576639
We estimate the impact of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on CES import price indices, focusing on the implications of Britain's exit from the European Union (Brexit). Our analysis reveals that an increase in the probability of Brexit increases U.K. import price indices by raising the prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337833
can affect voter turnout and election outcomes. We do so using historical data on more than 2,000 races in Florida and … small effect on turnout. Similarly, we also show under a range of conservative assumptions that very few election results … or critics were true, strict identification laws are unlikely to have a meaningful impact on turnout or election outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480150
We study the contribution of economic conditions to the success of the first avowedly nativist political party in the United States. The Know-Nothing Party gained control of a number of state governments in the 1854-1856 elections running on a staunchly anti-Catholic and anti-Irish platform. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482297
Polities differ in the extent to which political parties can pre-commit to carry out promised policy actions if they take power. Commitment problems may arise due to a divergence between the ex ante incentives facing national parties that seek to capture control of the legislature and the ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467285
One frequently overlooked aspect of the U.S.-style electoral college system is that it discourages election fraud. In a … presidential election based on the popular vote, competing political parties are motivated to manipulate votes in areas where they … electoral college system provides more effective protection against election fraud compared to the popular vote system. While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322861
A central challenge in estimating the causal effect of TV advertising on demand is isolating quasi-random variation in advertising. Political advertising, which topped $14 billion in expenditures in 2016, has been proposed as a plausible source of such variation and thus a candidate for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481544
This paper examines the relationship between the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE) and election polls during the 1988 … Canadian General Election campaign. Two hypotheses are investigated: first, did polls influence the TSE, and secondly, if so …, did the nature of the influence suggest that investors were reacting to expectations concerning the effect of the Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475973
Since the turn of the last century, nationalistic political parties have been gaining support in Europe. Over the same period, terror attacks have increased. Using data from European Social Surveys (ESS), we examine the effects of terror attacks involving at least one fatality on attitudes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510541
This paper argues that institutions and political party systems are simultaneously determined. A large change to the institutional framework, such as the creation of the euro by a group of European countries, will realign - after a transition period - the party system as well. The new political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455083