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Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models

Hansen, Lars Peter - 2014

We must infer what the future situation would be without our interference, and what changes will be wrought by our actions. Fortunately, or unfortunately, none of these processes is infallible, or indeed ever accurate and complete. Knight (1921)

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458272

Safe Assets

Barro, Robert J. - 2014

. However, in a Lucas-tree world, the aggregate risk is given by the process for GDP and cannot be altered by the creation of … will be nil. With heterogeneity in coefficients of relative risk aversion, safe assets can take the form of private bond … issues from low-risk-aversion to high-risk-aversion agents. The model assumes Epstein-Zin/Weil preferences with common values …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458013

Putting the Brakes on Sudden Stops : The Financial Frictions-Moral Hazard Tradeoff of Asset Price Guarantees

Mendoza, Enrique G. - 2004

The hypothesis that Sudden Stops to capital inflows in emerging economies may be caused by global capital market frictions, such as collateral constraints and trading costs, suggests that Sudden Stops could be prevented by offering price guarantees on the emerging-markets asset class. Providing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467900

Financial Development and the Instability of Open Economies

Aghion, Philippe - 2004

This paper introduces a framework for analyzing the role of financial factors as a source of instability in small open economies. Our basic model is a dynamic open economy model with a tradeable good produced with capital and a country-specific factor. We also assume that firms face credit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468447

Financial Frictions and Unconventional Monetary Policy in Emerging Economies

Chang, Roberto - 2016

We analyze conventional and unconventional monetary policies in a dynamic small open-economy model with financial frictions. In the model, financial intermediaries or banks borrow from the world market and lend to domestic households. Banks can borrow abroad up to a multiple of their equity; in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456718

Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances?

Justiniano, Alejandro - 2008

This paper demonstrates that an estimated, structural, small open economy model of the Canadian economy cannot account for the substantial influence of foreign-sourced disturbances identified in numerous reduced-form studies. The benchmark model assumes uncorrelated shocks across countries and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464100

Open-Economy Inflation Targeting

Svensson, Lars E. O. - 2000

The paper extends previous analysis of closed-economy inflation targeting to a small open economy with forward-looking aggregate supply and demand with some microfoundations, and with stylized realistic lags in the different transmission channels for monetary policy. The paper compares targeting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471032

Monetary Policy in the Open Economy Revisited : Price Setting and Exchange Rate Flexibility

Devereux, Michael B. - 2000

This paper develops a welfare-based model of monetary policy in an open economy. We focus on the extent to which monetary policy should be employed in maintaining the exchange rate. The traditional approach maintains that exchange rate flexibility is desirable in the presence of real...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471102

Adjustment to Small, Large, and Sunspot Shocks in Open Economies With Stock Collateral Constraints

Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie - 2016

This paper characterizes analytically the adjustment of an open economy with a stock collateral constraint to fundamental and nonfundamental shocks. In the model, external borrowing is limited by the value of physical capital. Three results are established: (1) Adjustment to external shocks is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455709

Global Shocks, Institutional Development, and Trade Restrictions : What Can We Learn from Crises and Recoveries Between 1990 and 2022?

Aizenman, Joshua; Itō, Hiro; Park, Donghyun; Saadaoui, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2025

The Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic were two major shocks to the world economy in the 21st century. In this study, we analyze the patterns of recessions and recoveries of 101 advanced and developing economies. We identify the turning points of recessions and expansions between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409788