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, while the time span of the data remains fixed, and the cross-sectional dimension is fixed or increasing. We derive a Central … Limit Theorem (CLT) for the cross-sectional beta dispersion at a point in time, enabling us to test whether this quantity … beta dispersion, as a function of time-of-day, changes across days. We extend this further by developing inference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480274
We recover prices of dividend strips on the aggregate stock market using data from derivatives markets. The price of a k-year dividend strip is the present value of the dividend paid in k years. The value of the stock market is the sum of all dividend strip prices across maturities. We study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462202
rates predictable? This paper proposes an answer to these questions based on a time-varying probability of a consumption … disaster. In the model, aggregate consumption follows a normal distribution with low volatility most of the time, but with some … the equity premium, while time-variation in the probability of this outcome drives high stock market volatility and excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464261
This paper attempts to assess whether money can generate persistent economic" fluctuations in dynamic general equilibrium models of the business cycle. We show that a small" nominal friction in the goods market can make the response of output to monetary shocks large" and persistent if it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472554
periods, including those induced by Daylight Saving Time changes, weather conditions and anticipation of major holidays …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453044
Brand and generic drug manufacturers frequently settle patent litigation on terms that include a payment to the generic manufacturer along with a specified date at which the generic would enter the market. The Federal Trade Commission contends that these agreements extend the brand's market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458375
unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high … frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011. Significant time variation in news effects is present for those … announcements that have the largest effects on asset prices. The time variation in effects is explained by economic conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459140
In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the "spread" S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to induce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477190
In line with Keynes' intuition, volatility in the stock market and in real economic activity are linked by expectations of long term profits. We show that analysts' optimism about the long term earnings growth of S&P 500 firms is associated with a near term boom in major US financial markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337811
-grade corporate bonds. The predictive power of war discourse increases in more recent time periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305