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How do Bitcoin prices evolve? What are the consequences for monetary policy? We answer these questions in a novel, yet simple endowment economy. There are two types of money, both useful for transactions: Bitcoins and Dollars. A central bank keeps the real value of Dollars constant, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453232
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479665
appreciates in the medium run, while an increase in the volatility of productivity leads to a dollar depreciation. We propose a … general-equilibrium theory of exchange rate determination based on the interaction between monetary policy and time … volatility shocks is consistent with the empirical evidence. Furthermore we show that risk factors and interest-rate smoothing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461525
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations and external finances affect output volatility through the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774
With many emerging market currencies tied to the U.S. dollar either implicitly or explicitly, movements in the exchange values of the currencies of major countries have the potential to influence the competitive position of many developing countries. According to some analysts, establishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470183
A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international … exchange rate volatility, even after controlling for a host of features, including the endogenous nature of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471350
daily exchange rate volatility and correlation, covering an entire decade. In addition to being model-free, our estimates …-inducing volatility transformation, high contemporaneous correlation across volatilities, high correlation between correlation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471846
. exchange-rate volatility. B. The observed pattern of spot exchange-rate vs. forward exchange-rate volatility. Second, a widely … neglected reason for exchange-rate volatility, activist monetary policy, will be studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478498
We study the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate and the relative price of non-traded to traded goods for 1225 country pairs over 1980-2005. We show that the two variables are positively correlated, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464210
exchange rate so as to facilitate terms of trade adjustment. We show that optimal nominal exchange rate volatility will reflect … bias in production. Quantitatively, we find the optimal exchange rate volatility should be significantly less than would be … optimal exchange rate volatility may be non-monotonic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466453