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Exchange rates depreciate by the difference between the domestic and foreign marginal utility growths. Exchange rates vary a lot , as much as 10% per year. However, equity premia imply that marginal utility growths vary much more, by at least 50% per year. This means that marginal utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470316
the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained nonparametrically from high-frequency data on the … underlying asset. We further construct new formal tests of the model fit for specific regions of the volatility surface and for … index options we extend the popular double-jump stochastic volatility model to allow for time-varying jump risk premia and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460613
including the Black-Scholes setup with infrequent trading, and a model with stochastic stock volatility and a varying riskfree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473370
theory and previous findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421212
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472795
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479665
-varying uncertainty (i.e., volatility) about future economic prospects drive asset prices. These two channels of economic risks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465457
The historical returns on equity index options are well known to be strikingly negative. That is typically explained either by investors having convex marginal utility over stock returns (e.g. crash/variance aversion) or by intermediaries demanding a premium for hedging risk. This paper examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436964
: implied volatility from one-day options on grains for the period 1906-1936, and on cliquet options, which provide insurance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437009
We propose a new model of exchange rates, which yields a theory of the forward premium puzzle. Our explanation combines … values for the volatility of the exchange rate, the forward premium puzzle regression coefficients, and near-random walk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464842