Showing 1 - 10 of 1,573
The substantial stock market return prior to FOMC announcements without major increase in conventional measures of risk, as documented by Lucca and Moench (2015), presents a "puzzle" to the simple notion of risk-return trade off. We hypothesize that the arrival of macroeconomic news, with FOMC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479767
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on stock returns in narrow windows around press releases by the Federal Reserve. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct effect and an indirect (network) effect. We attribute 50%-85% of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455257
communication of interest rate projections can help shape financial market expectations and may improve macroeconomic performance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466023
informal communication - including unattributed communication -- plays a central role in monetary policy communication. This … contrasts with the standard communications framework in which communication should be public and on-the-record because it serves … to ensure accountability and policy effectiveness. I lay out possible benefits of using unattributed communication as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482494
communication about future interest rate decisions based on information from the Internet and news sources. We apply the methodology … announcements, whereas longer-dated Treasuries mainly react to changes in policy communication. Using lower frequency data, we find …, we find communication to be a more important determinant of Treasury rates than contemporaneous policy rate decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463283
Over the last two decades, communication has become an increasingly important aspect of monetary policy. These real …-world developments have spawned a huge new scholarly literature on central bank communication -- mostly empirical, and almost all of it … written in this decade. We survey this ever-growing literature. The evidence suggests that communication can be an important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464715
communication by central banks about their policy decisions, the targets that they seek to achieve through those decisions, and the … central bank's view of the economy's likely future evolution. This paper considers the role of such communication in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466773
New security designs, improvements in computer telecommunications technology and advances in the theory of finance have led to revolutionary changes in the structure of financial markets and institutions. This paper provides a functional perspective on the dynamics of institutional change and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473791
The majority of bank liabilities are deposits typically not withdrawn for extended periods. We propose a dynamic model of banks in which depositors forecast banks' leverage and default decisions, and withdraw optimally by trading off current against future liquidity needs. Endogenous deposit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247979
This paper introduces a simple and tractable sieve estimation of semiparametric conditional factor models with latent factors. We establish large-N-asymptotic properties of the estimators without requiring large T. We also develop a simple bootstrap procedure for conducting inference about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421243