dividend yield is typically viewed as a reflection of either changing risk, related to the business cycle, or irrational … mispricing. Extending the work on asset allocation and dividend yield by Kandel and Stambaugh (1996) to accommodate variation in … risk as well as expected return, we develop Bayesian methods to examine the interaction between the data and an investor …

unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price-dividend … ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are … procyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk explains the cross …

Typical value-at-risk (VAR) calculations involve the probabilities of extreme dollar losses, based on the statistical … VAR values that are adjusted for risk aversion, time preferences, and other variations in economic valuation. In the … context of a representative agent equilibrium model, we construct an estimator of the risk-aversion coefficient that is …

techniques from the theory of multiple risk-bearing. Applying this analysis, the effect of labor income taxes on the demand for …The effect of uninsured labor income risk on the joint saving/portfolio composition decision is analyzed using new …

for liquid assets by adding uninsured individual risk together with differential costs of trading securities. We then …

The foreign exchange risk premium in an exchange rate target zone regime with devaluation/realignment risks is derived … devaluation/realignment risk, is taken into account. The risk premium is then the sum of two separate risk premia, arising from … real and nominal exchange rate premia are considered. The real and nominal risk premia from movements within the band are …

. I find that changes in dividend risk have effects opposite to those in standard dynamic portfolio models without money …