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Volatility tests are an alternative to regression tests for evaluating the joint null hypothesis of market efficiency … taken to be. By considering tests based on conditional volatility bounds, we show that if the alternative is that one could … conditional volatility tests.If the application is to spot and forward markets, then the most powerful conditional volatility test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477997
high volatility are followed by periods of low volatility. For instance, the turbulent 1970s were followed by the much more … tranquil times of the great moderation from 1984 to 2007. Modeling these movements in volatility is important to understand the … different mechanisms proposed in the literature to generate changes in volatility similar to the ones observed in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462039
We develop and implement a new method for maximum likelihood estimation in closed-form of stochastic volatility models … unobservable volatility state, to an approximate likelihood procedure where the volatility state is replaced by the implied … volatility of a short dated at-the-money option. We find that the approximation results in a negligible loss of accuracy. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468114
We propose using the price range in the estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show theoretically, numerically …, and empirically that the range is not only a highly efficient volatility proxy, but also that it is approximately Gaussian …-maximum likelihood estimation produces simple and highly efficient estimates of stochastic volatility models and extractions of latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470564
stochastic volatility. Our approach uses linear regression to reduce the dimension of the numerical optimization problem yet it … cross-section of yields well but not volatility while unspanned models fit volatility at the expense of fitting the cross-section …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458545
Revealed preference arguments are commonly used when identifying models of both single-agent decisions and non-cooperative games. We develop general identification results for a large class of models that have a linearly separable payoff structure. Our model allows for both discrete and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436999
Least squares regression with heteroskedasticity consistent standard errors ("OLS-HC regression") has proved very useful in cross section environments. However, several major difficulties, which are generally overlooked, must be confronted when transferring the HC technology to time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576582
Medical journals have adhered to a reporting practice that seriously limits the usefulness of published trial findings. Medical decision makers commonly observe many patient covariates and seek to use this information to personalize treatment choices. Yet standard summaries of trial findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388817
Health expenditure data almost always include extreme values. Such heavy tails can be a threat to the commonly adopted least squares methods. To accommodate extreme values, we propose the use of an estimation method that recovers the often ignored right tail of health expenditure distributions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322831
We provide a general framework for incorporating many types of micro data from summary statistics to full surveys of selected consumers into Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995)-style estimates of differentiated products demand systems. We extend best practices for BLP estimation in Conlon and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337838