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This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074
This paper compares several statistical models for monthly stock return volatility. The focus is on U.S. data from 1834 … volatility that are inconsistent with stationary models for conditional heteroskedasticity, We show the importance of … of stock volatility, even over the 1834-1925 period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476093
volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476144
tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459667
It is sometimes argued that an increase in stock market volatility raises required stock returns, and thus lowers stock … for this volatility feedback effect. The resulting model is asymmetric, because volatility feedback amplifies large … for large crashes. The model also implies that volatility feedback is more important when volatility is high. In U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475263
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476706
This paper uses a disaggregated approach to study the volatility of common stocks at the market, industry, and firm … levels. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market volatility …, while the number of stocks needed to achieve a given level of diversification has increased. All the volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471179
This paper studies three different measures of monthly stock market volatility: the time-series volatility of daily … market returns within the month; the cross-sectional volatility or 'dispersion' of daily returns on industry portfolios …, within the month. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471650
This paper reviews the literature on idiosyncratic equity volatility since the publication of "Have Individual Stocks …, Gharghori, and Zhong and by Leippold and Svaton, and we present volatility estimates through the end of 2021, significantly … period, idiosyncratic volatility declined thereafter; but sharp increases in market, industry, and idiosyncratic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191011
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469093