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This article provides a stochastic valuation framework for bond and stock returns that builds on three different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471438
We examine whether there is a flight-to-liquidity premium in Treasury bond prices by comparing them with prices of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469394
historical bond data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465408
Workhorse Gaussian affine term structure models (ATSMs) attribute time-varying bond risk premia entirely to changing … preferences. The new model has an ATSM representation with analytical bond prices making it empirically tractable. We find that … time variation in bond term premia is predominantly driven by the price of risk, especially, the price of expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456492
We find that procyclical stocks, whose returns comove with business cycles, earn higher average returns than countercyclical stocks. We use almost a three-quarter century of real GDP growth expectations from economists' surveys to determine forecasted economic states. This approach largely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544787
prices, bond yields, and risk premia suggests that systematic US monetary policy reactions to news do not drive the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
We study strategic disclosure timing by correlated firms in the presence of risk-averse investors. Firms delay disclosures in the hope that positively correlated firms will announce especially good news and lift their own price. Risk premia rise before disclosures, drop when disclosures occur,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447256
This paper studies the predictability of ultra high-frequency stock returns and durations to relevant price, volume and transactions events, using machine learning methods. We find that, contrary to low frequency and long horizon returns, where predictability is rare and inconsistent,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362020
This paper relates jumps in high frequency stock prices to firm-level, industry and macroeconomic news, in the form of machine-readable releases from Thomson Reuters News Analytics. We find that most relevant news, both idiosyncratic and systematic, lead quickly to price jumps, as market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635709
All of asset-pricing theory currently stems from one key assumption: price equals expected discounted payoff. And much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072884