Showing 1 - 10 of 1,730
This paper examines the extent to which permanent terms-of-trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings … in bad states of nature, savings rates will respond asymmetrically to favorable movements in the permanent component of … standard determinants of private savings. The results, based on panel data for non-oil commodity exporters of sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471007
The latest boom in commodity prices fueled concerns about fiscal policies in commodity-exporting countries, with many claiming that it triggered loose fiscal policy and left no funds for a rainy day. This paper examines the links between fiscal policy and terms-of-trade fluctuations using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462872
The paper uses an intertemporal perfect-foresight optimizing model to analyze the effect of transitory terms-of-trade shocks on a small open . economy's current-account and utility time profiles. An adverse terms-of-trade shift known to be temporary induces the economy to run down its stock of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478277
identifies two major price shock episodes before the recent mining-led boom and bust. It assesses their relative magnitude, their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463954
We develop a five-region version (Canada, a group of oil exporting countries, the United States, emerging Asia and Japan plus the euro area) of the Global Economy Model (GEM) encompassing production and trade of crude oil, and use it to study the international transmission mechanism of shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464854
: the reciprocal of the terms of trade. Cast this way, a change in the terms of trade acts as a productivity shock. Or does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465543
This paper investigates the international transmission of productivity shocks in a sample of five G7 countries. For each country, using long-run restrictions, we identify shocks that increase permanently domestic labor productivity in manufacturing (our measure of tradables) relative to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466182
shocks if it ties the hands of policy makers. But any decision to forsake exchange-rate flexibility might compromise shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466876
Latin American economies are exposed to substantial external vulnerability. Domestic imbalances and terms of trade shocks are often exacerbated by sudden stops of capital inflow. In this paper we explore ways of overcoming external vulnerability, drawing lessons from a detailed comparison of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468174
This paper investigates the impact of change in the terms of trade on the economic performance of a small economy. Both the effects of unanticipated shocks and changes in the mean and variance of the probability distribution generating these disturbances are discussed. In all cases, the key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475072