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Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
This paper finds that limited exchange rate flexibility in the form of "fear of appreciation" significantly slows adjustment of current account imbalances, providing novel support for Friedman's conjecture regarding exchange-rate flexibility. We present a new stylized fact: floaters have faster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334498
Frequent, yet uninformed, fund flows in Chilean pension plans generate substantial trading in currency markets due to the high allocation to international securities. These non-fundamental flows have a significant impact on the Chilean peso, which is estimated to have a relatively low price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477245
-invoiced products. We find the same tendency for imports from two Asian powerhouses: China and Thailand. There is no significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072852
China's rising presence in international finance, which has long lagged behind its prominence in international trade … countries more reliant on China's lending are less exposed to the global financial cycle in exchange rates, equity prices, bond … yields, and capital flows. These countries were not less exposed before China became a major lender, and trade linkages to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015326512
Expansionary fiscal policies have increased significantly following the subprime crisis in 2007 and the COVID-19 crisis, leading to fiscal dominance concerns, where a growing share of monetary authorities may be forced to deviate from policy targets to accommodate fiscal policies. Meanwhile,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056195
A common view is that deposit rates are determined primarily by supply: depositors require higher deposit rates from risky banks, thereby creating market discipline. An alternative perspective is that market discipline is limited (e.g., due to deposit insurance and/or enhanced capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955520
This paper is a case study of the exchange rate adjustments during the first week following the swapping US election results. We compute three measures of exchange rate depreciation: the maximum depreciation during the 1st trading day after November 6 UTC 0:00 to capture the reaction on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145144
We link the sustained appreciation of the U.S. dollar from 2011 to 2019 to international capital flows driven by primitive economic factors. We show that increases in foreign investors' net savings, increases in U.S. monetary policy rates relative to the rest of the world, and shifts in investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435120
We study the source of exchange rate fluctuations using a general equilibrium model accommodating shocks in goods and financial markets. These shocks differ in their induced comovements between exchange rates, interest rates, and quantities. A calibration matching data from the U.S. and G10...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072917