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Despite positive and significant earnings announcement premia, we find that institutional investors reduce their exposure to stocks before earnings announcements. A novel result on the sensitivity of flows to individual stock returns provides a potential explanation. We show that extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322748
Institutional investors engage in trillions of dollars of regular portfolio rebalancing, often based on calendar schedules or deviations from allocation targets. We document that such rebalancing has a market impact and generates predictable price patterns. When stocks are overweight, funds sell...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361429
We assume that the instantaneous riskless rate reverts towards a central tendency which in turn, is changing stochastically over time. As a result, current short-term rates are not" sufficient to predict future short-term rates movements, as would be the case if the central" tendency was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472491
We relate the predictability of future returns from past returns to the market's underreaction to information, focusing on past earnings news. Past return and past earnings surprise each predict large drifts in future returns after controlling for the other. There is little evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473492
Browser data from an approximately representative sample of individual investors offers a detailed account of their search for information, including how much time they spend on stock research, which stocks they research, what categories of information they seek, and when they gather information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361501
price volatility and "sentiment" fluctuations. We construct a general equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two … exploit, and hence, eliminate excessive volatility, except in the very long run." …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466868
" states - following market declines and when market volatility is high - and are contemporaneous with market rebounds. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458228
Portfolio optimization focuses on risk and return prediction, yet implementation costs critically matter. Predicting trading costs is challenging because costs depend on trade size and trader identity, thus impeding a generic solution. We focus on a component of trading costs that applies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094879
% of the volatility of the equity premium. A targeted subsidy that decreases diversification improves welfare by increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250139
Does information asymmetry affect the cross-section of expected stock returns? We explore this question using representative portfolio holdings data from the Shanghai Stock Exchange. We show that institutional investors have a strong information advantage, and that past aggressiveness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459983