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explosive mix of lack of policy credibility and world capital market imperfections that afflict emerging economies with national … emerging countries' vulnerability to these crises. The credibility of their financial policies would be greatly enhanced by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469764
Two observations suggest that financial globalization played an important role in the recent financial crisis. First, more than half of the rise in net borrowing of the U.S. nonfinancial sectors since the mid 1980s has been financed by foreign lending. Second, the collapse of the U.S. housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463217
The literature has not being able to identify clear-cut real effects of exchange-rate regimes on output growth. Similarly, no definitive view emerges from the literature in regard to the effects of open capital markets on macroeconomic performance. The paper attributes the failure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467554
Although internal policy mismanagements can be cited in most recent emerging market crises, they seldom account fully for the severity of these crises. The reluctance of international investors to provide the resources that would limit the extent of the reversal almost invariably plays a key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471969
Over the last two decades, the unprecedented increase in non-bank financial intermediation, particularly open-end mutual funds and ETFs, accounts for nearly half of the external financing flows to emerging markets exceeding cross-border lending by global banks. Evidence suggests that investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250161
Alexander Swoboda is one of the originators of the bipolar view that capital mobility creates pressure for countries to abandon intermediate exchange rate arrangements in favor of greater flexibility and harder pegs. This paper takes another look at the evidence for this hypothesis using two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464545
In this paper, we examine the IMF's role in maintaining the access of emerging market economies to international capital markets. We find evidence that both macroeconomic aggregates and capital flows improve following the adoption of an IMF program, although they may initially deteriorate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467855
This paper explores the nature of macroeconomic spillovers from advanced economies to emerging market economies (EMEs) and the consequences for independent use of monetary policy in EMEs. We first empirically document the effects of US monetary policy shocks on a sample group of EMEs. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456933
cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247924
credibility). We then use panel VARs based on both factor models and observed data to ascertain the impact of global shocks …, financial shocks, trade shocks and credibility shocks on the EMEs versus the AEs … credibility in EMEs was more fragile than was the case for the AEs in the face of the global shocks (from the US) than was the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480286