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the most suffered the biggest loss in confidence in institutions, particularly in trust in government and the financial …We document that trust in public institutions--and particularly trust in banks, business and government--has declined … sector. Finally, analysis of several repeated cross-sections of confidence within U.S. states yields similar qualitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461766
In a cross-section of countries, government regulation is strongly negatively correlated with social capital. We … model is that individuals in low trust countries want more government intervention even though the government is corrupt. We … government's role, as well as on changes in beliefs and in trust during the transition from socialism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464001
This paper proposes that idiosyncratic firm-level fluctuations can explain an important part of aggregate shocks, and provide a microfoundation for aggregate productivity shocks. Existing research has focused on using aggregate shocks to explain business cycles, arguing that individual firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463365
regions. We find regions, where the level of confidence and trust is high, are more financially integrated with each other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465209
We quantify the contribution of the largest firms to South Korea's economic performance over the period 1972-2011. Using firm-level historical data, we document a novel fact: firm concentration rose substantially during the growth miracle period. To understand whether rising concentration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635611
confidence innovations. Once we control for their low-frequency effect, we find little statistically or economically significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462513
We explore the business cycle implications of expectation shocks and of two well-known psychological biases, optimism and overconfidence. The expectations of optimistic agents are biased toward good outcomes, while overconfident agents overestimate the precision of the signals that they receive....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466092
firms invest and hire less. The higher uncertainty reduces agents' confidence and further discourages economic activity. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455722
We develop a tractable method for augmenting macroeconomic models with autonomous variation in higher-order beliefs. We use this to accommodate a certain type of waves of optimism and pessimism that can be interpreted as the product of frictional coordination and, unlike the one featured in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457859
confidence shock. Lack-of-confidence shocks play a central role in generating jobless recoveries, for fundamental shocks, such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460116