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Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472795
This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. We first argue that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473491
cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247924
Exchange-rate models fit very well for the U.S. dollar in the 21st century. A "standard" model that includes real interest rates and a measure of expected inflation for the U.S. and the foreign country, the U.S. comprehensive trade balance, and measures of global risk and liquidity demand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056131
" states - following market declines and when market volatility is high - and are contemporaneous with market rebounds. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458228
relative to the rest of the world, and shifts in investor demand for U.S. financial assets contributed approximately equally to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435120
We document evidence consistent with retail day traders in the Forex market attributing random success to their own skill and, as a consequence, increasing risk taking. Although past performance does not predict future success for these traders, traders increase trade sizes, trade size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456529
It is well known that high-frequency asset returns are fat-tailed relative to the Gaussian distribution tails are typically reduced but not eliminated when returns are standardized by volatilities estimated from popular models such as GARCH. We consider two major dollar exchange rates, and we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471288
Market impacts of Japanese macroeconomic announcements within minutes on the dollar/yen foreign exchange are analyzed … components have return impacts also have impacts on deals and volatility. The announcement itself, in addition to the magnitude … of surprise, is found to increase the deals and price volatility in the immediately after the announcement. In addition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463629
Intraday movements in the yen/dollar rate are examined over the 1980-86 period using opening and closing quotes in the … and U.S. stock prices suggests that intraday yen/dollar rate movements do contain at least some relevant information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476358