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of yield curve models helps with resolving the puzzles. It also allows us to connect the differences between … international yield curves to characteristics of exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480858
We study a new data set of prices of traded dividends with maturities up to 10 years across three world regions: the US, Europe, and Japan. We use these asset prices to construct equity yields, analogous to bond yields. We decompose these yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461242
spending shock, the government raises the yield curve and steepens it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466989
This paper provides a brief survey of the relationship between the yield curve and future changes in interest rates and … inflation. The expectations hypothesis of the term structure indicates .that when the yield curve is upward sloping, future … hypothesis, yield spreads are positively correlated with future changes in short-term interest rates, particularly at long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475452
2.5 years at a minutely frequency. The convenience yield on treasuries equals about 40 basis points, is larger below 3 … monetary stimulus reduce convenience yields, particularly during the crisis. We further study convenience-yield-free CIP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480084
Utilizing critical recent data advances, we analyze empirical evidence on long-run samples of short-maturity real interest rates as well as term spreads based on multi-century data. In contrast to an extensive literature on short-maturity real interest rates over the past few decades, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094921
counterfactual stock market index price change that results purely from the change in the default-free yield curve induced by the … monetary policy surprise. The yield curve change in turn partly reflects a change in expected future short-term interest rates …/odd week FOMC cycle in stock index returns is also largely due to an FOMC cycle in the yield curve rather than the equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056210
dispersion increases, bond prices decrease. Interdealer price dispersion explains a substantial portion of bond yield spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072939
Measured as yield spreads against AAA corporate bonds, the convenience premium of agency MBS averages 47 basis points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190993
In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the moments of the yield curve (or alternatively, the term spread … the debt service ratio in many cases yield substantially better predictive power, in terms of in-sample fit using … proportion of variance explained. Overall, the predictive power of the yield curve, as well as other financial variables, varies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468283