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Measured as yield spreads against AAA corporate bonds, the convenience premium of agency MBS averages 47 basis points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190993
2.5 years at a minutely frequency. The convenience yield on treasuries equals about 40 basis points, is larger below 3 … monetary stimulus reduce convenience yields, particularly during the crisis. We further study convenience-yield-free CIP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480084
We estimate Taylor (1993) rules and identify monetary policy shocks using no-arbitrage pricing techniques. Long-term interest rates are risk-adjusted expected values of future short rates and thus provide strong over-identifying restrictions about the policy rule used by the Federal Reserve. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465201
This paper provides a brief survey of the relationship between the yield curve and future changes in interest rates and … inflation. The expectations hypothesis of the term structure indicates .that when the yield curve is upward sloping, future … hypothesis, yield spreads are positively correlated with future changes in short-term interest rates, particularly at long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475452
We construct a no-arbitrage term structure model with jumps in the entire state vector at deterministic times but of random magnitudes. Jump risk premia are allowed for. We show that the model implies a closed-form representation of yields as a time-inhomogenous affine function of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457955
In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the moments of the yield curve (or alternatively, the term spread … the debt service ratio in many cases yield substantially better predictive power, in terms of in-sample fit using … proportion of variance explained. Overall, the predictive power of the yield curve, as well as other financial variables, varies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468283
"sovereign yield shocks" transmit across countries in the Eurozone. Second, we estimate short-term supply and demand multipliers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482423
, investment horizon, and yield curve slope differentials. Large-scale purchases of long-maturity bonds lower domestic and foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172174
increase interest rates, flatten the yield curve, and lead to a downward-sloping yield curve on average. In contrast … sufficiently segmented, then persistent money injections decrease nominal interest rates, steepen or even twist the yield curve …, and lead to an upward-sloping yield curve on average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471741
It is well known that in the postwar period stockreturns have tended to be low when the short term nominal interest rate is high. In this paper I show that more generally the state of the term structure of interest rates predicts stock returns. Risk premia on stocks appear to move closely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477454