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. The latter is more likely if bubbles develop along the expansionary path. These (rational) bubbles can emerge even when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468175
Using transaction data from a large non-fungible token (NFT) trading platform, this paper examines how the behavioral bias of selection-neglect interacts with extrapolative beliefs, accelerating the boom and delaying the crash in the recent NFT bubble. We show that the price-volume relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322885
This paper studies an economy inhabited by overlapping generations of homeowners and investors, with the only difference between the two being that homeowners derive utility from housing services whereas investors do not. Tight collateral constraint limits the borrowing capacity of homeowners...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459307
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
We measure investors' short- and long-term stock-return expectations using both options and survey data. These expectations at different horizons reveal what investors think their own short-term expectations will be in the future, or forward return expectations. While contemporaneous short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372444
bubbles in stock prices in a model in which stockholders have …rules out the existence of negative rational bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477082
This paper reports empirical tests for the existence of rational bubbles in stock prices. The analysis focuses on a … extraneous variables. The tests are based on the theoretical result that, if rational bubbles exist, time series obtained by …. Applications of the time domain tests to simulated nonstationary time series that would be implied by rational bubbles indicates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477310
economically interesting, i.e., forward looking, any rational bubbles would be either explosive or implosive. Further arguments … the value of fiat money. These arguments rule out both positive and negative rational bubbles, except for the poissibility … of rational inflationary bubbles.This paper extends the theoretical analysis of rational bubbles in two ways. First, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477466
There is a large and growing empirical literature that tests forthe existence of asset-price bubbles or "sunspot …" equilibria -- equilibria unrelated to market fundamentals. Our view is that even tests for non-stationary asset-price bubbles … ruling out nonstationary speculative price bubbles in models based on individual maximizing behavior. In the first part of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477481
We develop a model of asset price bubbles based on the communication process between advisors and investors. Advisors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465142