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A number of studies have identifed patterns of positive correlation of returns, or comovement, among different traded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469819
information-based model demonstrates that the correlation of beliefs implied by analyst forecasts leads to return correlations … broadly in line with the data, both in levels and across countries - the correlation between predicted and actual is 0.63. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457188
After the Covid-shock in March 2020, stock prices declined abruptly, reflecting both the deterioration of investors' expectations of economic activity as well as the surge in aggregate risk aversion. In the following months however, whereas economic activity remained sluggish, equity markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334522
This paper shows that China has launched a new global system for cross-border rescue lending to countries in debt distress. We build the first comprehensive dataset on China's overseas bailouts between 2000 and 2021 and provide new insights into China's growing role in the global financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250123
In this paper, we take a critical look at the relationship between the value of capital stock in the Indian corporate sector and the valuation of claims to this capital stock in capital markets. We address the question of whether Indian equity valuations over the period 1991- 2008 are consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462594
We use a new firm-level dataset to examine the efficiency of investment in emerging economies. In the three-year period following stock market liberalizations, the growth rate of the typical firm's capital stock exceeds its pre-liberalization mean by an average of 5.4 percentage points....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466482
We build a cross-sectional factor model for investors' direct stock holdings, by analogy with standard time-series factor models for stock returns. We estimate the model using data from almost 10 million retail accounts in the Indian stock market. We find that stock characteristics such as firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599355
This paper defines risk-on risk-off (RORO), an elusive terminology in pervasive use, as the variation in global investor risk aversion. Our high-frequency RORO index captures time-varying investor risk appetite across multiple dimensions: advanced economy credit risk, equity market volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437038
We develop estimation methods that use the amount of selection on the observables in a model as a guide to the amount of selection on the unobservables. We show that if the observed variables are a random subset of a large number of factors that influence the endogenous variable and the outcome...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470912
It is widely believed that correlations between international equity markets tend to increase in highly volatile bear markets. This has led some to doubt the benefits of international diversification. This article solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem of a US investor faced with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471745