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Measured productivity is strongly procyclical. Real business cycle theories suggest that actual fluctuations in … productivity are the source of fluctuations in aggregate output. Keynesian theories maintain that fluctuations in aggregate output … to explain the procyclicality of productivity. If observed productivity shocks are true productivity shocks, a function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476922
The evidence for a productivity-based explanation for real exchange rate behavior of East Asian currencies is examined … relative productivity ratios, one finds a relationship for Japan, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Only when augmenting the … productivity variables, as well as other demand side factors, are less encouraging, except for a small subset of countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472706
using first-order approximations. In our estimated medium-scale DSGE model, a loss of confidence about productivity works …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460758
permit estimation using standard Bayesian techniques. Applying our framework to an estimated New-Keynesian business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456450
and capital are important for explaining procyclical productivity. Here I present two simple and direct tests of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473533
by a shock that does not affect productivity in the short run -- and therefore does not look like a standard technology … shock -- but affects productivity with substantial delay -- and therefore does not look like a monetary shock. One … precede productivity growth by a few years. Moreover, we show that this shock explains about 50\% of business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468145
-adjusted total factor productivity series, which we take as a measure of exogenous productivity. In contrast to the predictions of … the model, positive productivity shocks are estimated to be more expansionary at the ZLB compared to normal times. However …, in line with the predictions of the basic model, positive productivity shocks have a stronger negative effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456364
Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate countercyclical movement in both aggregate conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458195
Recessions often happen after periods of rapid accumulation of houses, consumer durables and business capital. This observation has led some economists, most notably Friedrich Hayek, to conclude that recessions mainly reflect periods of needed liquidation resulting from past over-investment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458563
This paper develops and analyzes a general-equilibrium model with sticky information. The only rigidity in goods, labor, and financial markets is that agents are inattentive, sporadically updating their information sets, when setting prices, wages, and consumption. After presenting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466056