innovation can be systematically distorted. This paper builds a simple model of endogenous technology, which generalizes existing … comparative static results and characterizes potential distortions in the direction of innovation. I show that empirical findings …

. Mortality from all causes during the pandemic was elevated 26 percent for working-age adults (18-64), as compared to 18 percent …

how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …

daily deaths from COVID-19 fixed, what was the impact of vaccines on cumulative mortality from COVID-19 up through June 2023 … behavioral responses to COVID-19 deaths on cumulative mortality from COVID-19 over this same time period? In answering the first … question, I find that vaccines saved 748,600 lives through June 2023. That is, without vaccines, cumulative mortality from …

in demand for new research and a corresponding increase in the use of preprint platforms around the world. We find that ….S. institutions receive more attention, than preprints with authors from the rest of the world. In an exploration of potential …