Showing 1 - 10 of 9,473
This paper revises pre-World War II current account data for thirteen countries by treating gold flows on a consistent basis. The standard historical data sources often fail to distinguish between monetary gold exports, which are capital-account credits, and nonmonetary gold exports, which are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472711
current account imbalances and possibly to the recent global financial crisis. This paper proposes a theory of excess savings …Large savings and current account surpluses by China and other countries are said to be a contributor to the global … show conditions under which an intensified competition in the marriage market can induce men to raise their savings rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462653
We study the evolution of the U.S. current account in a two-country dynamic stochastic endowment model in which a single non-state contingent bond is the only internationally traded asset. The paper focuses on the world `saving glut' as the primary cause of continual deterioration in the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465076
Faced with income fluctuations, countries smooth their consumption by raising savings when income is high, and vice … versa. How much of these savings do countries invest at home and abroad? In other words, what are the effects of … fluctuations in savings on domestic investment and the current account? In the long run, we find that countries invest the marginal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469683
savings rate on the investment rate, as performed in the literature, are shown to be incorrect tests of the hypothesis of … current account and savings equations. Empirical tests of the model for a sample of 18 OECD countries present good evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476287
account and the intertemporal savings and investment choices of its households, firms, and governments. In this paper, we … assess the empirical relevance of the permanent income theory of household saving, a key building block of recent theoretical … models of the current account. Using the econometric approach of Campbell (1987), we are able to reject the theory on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476846
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output-the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457809
dynamics are documented here to be specific to the U.S. and Canada. In other developed economies residential investment is … mortgages and interest rate dynamics aligns the theory more closely with U.S. observations. Longer time to build in housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460228
Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived by households affects their spending decisions. We use randomized information treatments that provide different types of information about the first and/or second moments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496179
that the represenative consumer changes savings in response to temporary deviations of income from its stochastic trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462580