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The following paper discusses the analysis of some types of economic time series using an altered time scale, or … operational time. It is argued that for some series, observations that are ordinarily thought of as equidistant in time are … actually irregularly spaced in a more natural time scale. Section A discusses point or impulse sampling of related series and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479094
periods, including those induced by Daylight Saving Time changes, weather conditions and anticipation of major holidays …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453044
typical unemployment shock, depending on race/gender, resulting in a 3.0% increase in mortality rate and a 0.5% drop in life …We adopt a time series approach to investigate the historical relation between unemployment, life expectancy, and … mortality rates. We fit a Vector-autoregression (VAR) for the overall US population and for groups identified based on gender …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482522
We use a fully-specified neoclassical model augmented with costly external equity as a laboratory to study the relations between stock returns and equity financing decisions. Simulations show that the model can simultaneously and in many cases quantitatively reproduce: procyclical equity issuance;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466657
time-varying weight in new lists, and one can decompose the market return into a fixed weight return plus a timing return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469664
This paper attempts to assess whether money can generate persistent economic" fluctuations in dynamic general equilibrium models of the business cycle. We show that a small" nominal friction in the goods market can make the response of output to monetary shocks large" and persistent if it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472554
average returns. This rules out typical risk-based explanations and is a challenge to structural models of time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456467
Recent empirical work has found that both aggregate and micro data reject the rational expectations version of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income model of consumption. This paper examines a new possible explanation for the rejections: the treatment of seasonal fluctuations. There are substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477231
Seasonal adjustment procedures attempt to estimate the sample realizations of an unobservable economic time series in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477969
We examine the retail prices and wholesale prices of a large supermarket chain in Chicago over seven and one-half years. We show that prices tend to fall during the seasonal demand peak for a product and that changes in retail margins account for most of those price changes; thus we add to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470748