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In his 2004 inflation targeting manifesto, Marvin Goodfriend described US monetary policy as implicit inflation targeting and advocated explicit targeting. Summarizing the 1965-2000 US inflation experience, he highlighted the importance of evolving Fed credibility, which accords with our recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210040
We show that firms' nominal required returns to capital (i.e., their discount rates) are sticky with respect to expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real discount rates and thereby raise real investment. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
Do periods of persistently loose monetary policy increase financial fragility and the likelihood of a financial crisis? This is a central question for policymakers, yet the literature does not provide systematic empirical evidence about this link at the aggregate level. In this paper we fill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226155
high-frequency variation in 10-year swap rates around FOMC announcements. We find that four weeks after the announcement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486229
This paper studies how household inequality shapes the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates on aggregate dynamics. To do so, we consider a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model with an occasionally binding ZLB and solve for its fully non-linear stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287383
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466260
' inflation expectations capture the broader distribution of societal beliefs about inflation. This research has revealed very … act on their beliefs about inflation, though in heterogeneous ways that can depart from the predictions of conventional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544766
the Fed have different beliefs, the market perceives monetary policy "mistakes" that influence the policy rate the Fed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334351
. The model and estimation allow for jumps at Fed announcements in investor beliefs, providing granular detail on why … markets react to central bank communications. We find that the reasons involve a mix of revisions in investor beliefs about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210100