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, classification has been done manually. If it were possible to combine new computational tools and administrative wage records to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480604
While health affects many economic outcomes, its dynamics are still poorly understood. We use k means clustering, a machine learning technique, and data from the Health and Retirement Study to identify health types during middle and old age. We identify five health types: the vigorous resilient,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056123
with intra-group risk correlation, which is expected in natural test groupings based on proximity. Third, because optimal … groupings depend on uncertain risk and correlation, we show how better estimates from machine learning can drive large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481312
Data on human height can provide an index that may measure more accurately changes in the standard of living than the more conventional real wage index. Height data, like those on real wages, are relatively abundant and extend back to the seventeenth century. In a previous paper, we developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477633
In this paper we study identification and estimation of a correlated random coefficients (CRC) panel data model. The outcome of interest varies linearly with a vector of endogenous regressors. The coefficients on these regressors are heterogenous across units and may covary with them. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464178
We extend range-based volatility estimation to the multivariate case. In particular, we propose a range-based covariance estimator motivated by a key financial economic consideration, the absence of arbitrage, in addition to statistical considerations. We show that this estimator is highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469034
almost all these papers ignore the bias in the estimated standard errors that serial correlation introduce4s. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469874
We develop estimation methods that use the amount of selection on the observables in a model as a guide to the amount of selection on the unobservables. We show that if the observed variables are a random subset of a large number of factors that influence the endogenous variable and the outcome...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470912
This paper evaluates the forecasting accuracy of correlation derived from implied volatilities in dollar-mark, dollar …-yen, and mark-yen options from January 1989 to May 1995. As a forecast of realized correlation between the dollar-mark and … dollar-yen, implied correlation is compared against three alternative forecasts based on time series data: historical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472847
We introduce a new, hybrid measure of stock return tail covariance risk, motivated by the under-diversified portfolio holdings of individual investors, and investigate its cross-sectional predictive power. Our key innovation is that this covariance is measured across the left tail states of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459202